Japan Levian Cup predictions

by supdog

The Japan cup games are upon us again and there is a lot of value to be made from the games as teams are usually resting their main squad and even their back-up squad and mainly playing their youth teams. So let us jump straight into the picks itself and analyse the odds that are provided for the games. Matchday 1 provided some interesting results.

Vegalta Sendai
1 – 1
Albirex Niigata
Ventforet Kofu
3 – 0
Consadole Sapporo
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 – 0
Júbilo Iwata
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 4
Urawa Reds
Gamba Osaka
0 – 4
Sanfrecce Hiro…
Shonan Bellmare
1 – 0
Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe
2 – 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
Yokohama F. Ma…
1 – 0

Jubilo Iwata vs Consodale Sapporo
The 1×2 odds are 2.78/3.2/2.76. Both teams played much weakened sides and the odds suggest that this is a coin flip. Both these teams lost on the first matchday and need a win to stay afloat in this group, any loss would leave them marooned at the bottom of the group. This suggest a very evenly contested game and a draw is the most likely outcome here at 3.2.

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata
The 1×2 odds are 1.87/3.48/4.71. The odds suggest that FC Tokyo is favoured in this matchup and they should come out ahead here most of the time. Albirex have been struggling in the J2 league after being relegated and they are most likely to rest all of their starters. FC Tokyo also have not been doing well and will likely to play a weakened lineup. Avoid this game if possible due to the lousy odds but if I had to pick, FC Tokyo will be the choice.

Ventforet Kofu vs Shimizu S Pulse
The 1×2 odds are 3.74/3.34/2.14. S Pulse are the away team here and they are getting very generous odds that are unsubstantiated as these odds are a reflection of their main team and their league form. Both of which are not in play here. Kofu won handily in the first game at home and the odds suggest that they have a higher chance with 2 weakened teams meet. The pick would be Kofu ML at 3.74 or +0.25 at 2.02.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
The 1×2 odds are 1.91/3.74/4.14. Nagoya Grampus as usual put out their youth team against a Urawa Reds team that strangely started half of their main team. This resulted in a lopsided affair that ended 1-4 against them. However, I will like to caution against the odds here as Hiroshima is not as good as the odds suggest here with their youth side. Grampus stand a good chance for a result and therefore they will be my likely winners here. Grampus ML at 4.14 or Grampus +0.5 at 1.98 will be the pick here.

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